How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?", with $1.8 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "8+" with $534K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 89%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTWEATHERDISPUTED

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.81M Vol$1.96K 24h$31.93K Liq3 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
8+
88%↗1.5%24h$533.51K
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
7
10%↘1.0%24h$276.31K
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
6
2.8%↘0.1%24h$117.73K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?", with $1.8 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "8+" with $534K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 89%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.