Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Total volume
$191K
Closing date
June 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the result for "Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
RESOLVEDWeather

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

$190.6K Vol↘ 0.4% 24h
Market closed — no longer accepting trades

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Resolution Details

Created AtDec 4, 2025, 1:31 PM ET

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

FAQ

What was the result for "Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.