DeepSeek V4 released by...? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "DeepSeek V4 released by...?"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "DeepSeek V4 released by...?", with $1.1 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "March 31" with $620K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 15, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "DeepSeek V4 released by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTTECH

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

$1.14M Vol$31.70K 24h$51.59K Liq3 mkts
OutcomeBuy
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
April 15
6%11.5%24h$195.31K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
April 30
74%1.5%1h14.0%24h$53.87K
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
May 15
90%0.5%1h16.0%24h$31.46K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

FAQ

How many markets are available for "DeepSeek V4 released by...?"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "DeepSeek V4 released by...?", with $1.1 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "March 31" with $620K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 15, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "DeepSeek V4 released by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.