Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Total volume
$9.5 million
Closing date
April 15, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the result for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Polymarket
RESOLVEDPolitics

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

$9.5M Vol
Market closed — no longer accepting trades

My Positions

Loading orderbook...
Loading trades...

Market Talks

FrenFlow Analysis

Iran War End: Polymarket Prices Surge on Trump Ceasefire Talks

Iran War End: Polymarket Prices Surge on Trump Ceasefire Talks

FrenFlowFrenFlow·Mar 23, 2026

Resolution Details

Created AtMar 20, 2026, 11:42 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What was the result for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.