Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets in this Event
- March 1 — Yes 0%
- March 2 — Yes 0%
- March 7 — Yes 0%
- March 15 — Yes 0%
- March 31 — Yes 14%
- April 30 — Yes 56%
- June 30 — Yes 73%
Frequently Asked Questions
How many markets are available for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?"?
There are 7 active prediction markets available for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?", with $3.5 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "March 31" with $1.7 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 14%.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around March 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets
| Outcome | Buy |
|---|---|
June 30 73%$197.70K | |
April 30 56%$365.63K | |
March 31 14%$1.73M |