Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?", with $31.1 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Judy Shelton" with $13.2 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around October 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOT

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$31.13M Vol$800.31K 24h$1.30M Liq9 mkts
OutcomeVolumeBuy
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
94.7%↗0.7%24h$6.24M
$6.24M
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Judy Shelton
1.1%↘0.1%1h↗0.1%24h$13.25M
$13.25M
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Michelle Bowman
1.2%↘0.3%24h$2.46M
$2.46M
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Stephen Miran
0.8%↗0.5%24h$1.02M
$1.02M
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Rick Reider
0.7%$917.60K
$917.60K

Market Talks

FrenFlow Analysis

Warsh at 94¢ Looks Like a Lock. The DOJ Probe Says Otherwise.

Warsh at 94¢ Looks Like a Lock. The DOJ Probe Says Otherwise.

FrenFlowFrenFlow·Mar 21, 2026

Resolution Details

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

There are 9 active prediction markets available for "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?", with $31.1 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Judy Shelton" with $13.2 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around October 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.