Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
95%
No probability
5%
Total volume
$6.3 million
24-hour volume
$285K
Closing date
October 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

Traders currently give this a 95% chance of Yes and 5% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

This market has seen $6.3 million in total trading volume, with $285K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on October 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 94% to 95%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Polymarket
ACTIVE

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$6.3M Vol$285.5K 24h$240.3K Liq

My Positions

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Resolution Details

Created AtMar 4, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

Traders currently give this a 95% chance of Yes and 5% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

This market has seen $6.3 million in total trading volume, with $285K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on October 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 94% to 95%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.