Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
11%
No probability
90%
Closing date
April 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 11% chance of Yes and 90% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 36 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 47% to 11%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?
ACTIVEAI

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?

$0 Vol$170 Liq↘ 36.0% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 9, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 12, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 11% chance of Yes and 90% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 36 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 47% to 11%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.