GPT-5.5 released on...? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET). GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "GPT-5.5 released on...?"?

There are 24 active prediction markets available for "GPT-5.5 released on...?", with $2K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Prio to or on April 8" with $2K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "GPT-5.5 released on...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
NEWAI

GPT-5.5 released on...?

$2.16K Vol$2.16K 24h$2.79K Liq22 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?
April 16
83%$0.00
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?
April 30
84%↘3.0%1h$0.00
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 13, 2026?
April 13
84%$0.00
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 14, 2026?
April 14
85%↘2.0%1h$5.00
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?
No release by April 30
90%$1.11

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).

FAQ

How many markets are available for "GPT-5.5 released on...?"?

There are 24 active prediction markets available for "GPT-5.5 released on...?", with $2K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Prio to or on April 8" with $2K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "GPT-5.5 released on...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.