Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?
Traders currently give this a 82% chance of Yes and 18% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?
This market has seen $114K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on January 10, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 6 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 76% to 82%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?
Traders currently give this a 82% chance of Yes and 18% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?
This market has seen $114K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on January 10, 2027. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 6 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 76% to 82%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.