Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. This market may resolve immediately upon the release of data for any month which qualifies towards a "Yes" resolution. If no information for all months is provided by NASA by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?

There are 1 active prediction market available for "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?", with $115K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?" with $115K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 83%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around January 10, 2027. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTWEATHER

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$114.55K Vol$1.71K 24h$10.37K Liq

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record. If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?

There are 1 active prediction market available for "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?", with $115K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?" with $115K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 83%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around January 10, 2027. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.