Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 11%
- No probability
- 90%
- Total volume
- $2.0 million
- 24-hour volume
- $109K
- Closing date
- March 31, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?"?
Traders currently give this a 11% chance of Yes and 90% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?"?
This market has seen $2.0 million in total trading volume, with $109K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on March 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.