Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?

There are 1 active prediction market available for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?", with $126K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?" with $126K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 13%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

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Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$125.68K Vol$3.01K 24h$7.97K Liq

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Resolution Details

For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?

There are 1 active prediction market available for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?", with $126K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?" with $126K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 13%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.