Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
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Resolution Details
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?
Traders currently give this a 13% chance of Yes and 88% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?
This market has seen $126K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 13% to 13%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?
Traders currently give this a 13% chance of Yes and 88% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?"?
This market has seen $126K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 13% to 13%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.