Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 0%
- No probability
- 100%
- Closing date
- March 31, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the result for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?"?
This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Market closed — no longer accepting trades
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Place Trade
This market is not currently accepting orders