Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 100%
- No probability
- 0%
- Total volume
- $111.5 million
- 24-hour volume
- $13.9 million
- Closing date
- February 28, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?"?
Traders currently give this a 100% chance of Yes and 0% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?"?
This market has seen $111.5 million in total trading volume, with $13.9 million traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on February 28, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 100% to 100%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
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Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".