Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets in this Event
Frequently Asked Questions
How many markets are available for "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?"?
There are 1 active prediction market available for "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?", with $104.0 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?" with $104.0 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 100%.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around February 28, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets
| Outcome | Buy |
|---|---|
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? 100%↗ 0.4%$104.03M |