Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Closing date
March 18, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the result for "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
RESOLVEDEconomy

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

$0 Vol↗ 0.4% 24h
Market closed — no longer accepting trades

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Resolution Details

Created AtDec 16, 2025, 12:20 PM ET

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What was the result for "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.