Fed rate cut by...? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Fed rate cut by...?"?

There are 8 active prediction markets available for "Fed rate cut by...?", with $1.3 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "January Meeting" with $588K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 17, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Fed rate cut by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTECONOMY

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.35M Vol$18.98K 24h$186.64K Liq6 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
April Meeting
1.7%0.1%24h$392.60K
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
October Meeting
65.7%4.1%1h5.5%24h$36.82K
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
December Meeting
63%0.5%1h7.0%24h$57.95K
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
September Meeting
46%0.5%1h4.9%24h$79.85K
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
July Meeting
29%4.5%24h$33.56K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Fed rate cut by...?"?

There are 8 active prediction markets available for "Fed rate cut by...?", with $1.3 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "January Meeting" with $588K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 17, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Fed rate cut by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.