Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
63%
No probability
37%
Total volume
$59K
24-hour volume
$918
Closing date
June 17, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?"?

Traders currently give this a 63% chance of Yes and 37% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?"?

This market has seen $59K in total trading volume, with $918 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 17, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 61% to 63%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
ACTIVEEconomy

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

$58.6K Vol$918 24h$45.5K Liq 1.5% 24h

My Positions

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Resolution Details

Created AtFeb 25, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?"?

Traders currently give this a 63% chance of Yes and 37% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?"?

This market has seen $59K in total trading volume, with $918 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 17, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 61% to 63%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.