Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2026, currently scheduled for April 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
2%
No probability
98%
Total volume
$393K
24-hour volume
$17K
Closing date
April 29, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?"?

Traders currently give this a 2% chance of Yes and 98% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?"?

This market has seen $393K in total trading volume, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 29, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 2% to 2%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
ACTIVEEconomy

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

$393.3K Vol$16.5K 24h$44.6K Liq 0.3% 24h

My Positions

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Resolution Details

Created AtDec 16, 2025, 12:20 PM ET

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2026, currently scheduled for April 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?"?

Traders currently give this a 2% chance of Yes and 98% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?"?

This market has seen $393K in total trading volume, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 29, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 2% to 2%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.