Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markets in this Event
Frequently Asked Questions
How many markets are available for "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?"?
There are 4 active prediction markets available for "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?", with $7.8 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "March 31" with $6.1 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 63%.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Price History
Markets
| Outcome | Buy |
|---|---|
December 31 70%↗ 1.5%$682.58K | |
June 30 66%↘ 3.5%$670.74K | |
March 31 63%↗ 3.0%$6.11M |