Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 67%
- No probability
- 34%
- Total volume
- $374K
- 24-hour volume
- $13K
- Closing date
- April 12, 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?"?
Traders currently give this a 67% chance of Yes and 34% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?"?
This market has seen $374K in total trading volume, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on April 12, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 2 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 69% to 67%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
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Resolution Details
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.