Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 13?

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Current Market Data

Yes probability
49%
No probability
51%
Closing date
April 18, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 13?"?

Traders currently give this a 49% chance of Yes and 51% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 18, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 13?
ACTIVEPolitics

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 13?

$0 Vol$5 Liq

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 13?"?

Traders currently give this a 49% chance of Yes and 51% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 18, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.