Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Current Market Data

Yes probability
2%
No probability
98%
Total volume
$25K

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?

Traders currently give this a 2% chance of Yes and 98% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?

This market has seen $25K in total trading volume. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 2% to 2%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
ACTIVEPolitics

Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

$25.4K Vol$8.6K Liq↗ 0.1% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtDec 3, 2025, 7:59 PM ET

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?

Traders currently give this a 2% chance of Yes and 98% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?

This market has seen $25K in total trading volume. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 2% to 2%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.