Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
5%
No probability
95%
Total volume
$2.1 million
24-hour volume
$6K
Closing date
September 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"?

Traders currently give this a 5% chance of Yes and 95% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"?

This market has seen $2.1 million in total trading volume, with $6K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on September 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 5% to 5%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
ACTIVEElections

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

$2.1M Vol$6.1K 24h$37.6K Liq↗ 0.1% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtJan 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"?

Traders currently give this a 5% chance of Yes and 95% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"?

This market has seen $2.1 million in total trading volume, with $6K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on September 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 5% to 5%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.