Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Total volume
$201K
Closing date
January 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the result for "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
RESOLVEDCulture

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?

$201.0K Vol↘ 0.1% 24h
Market closed — no longer accepting trades

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Resolution Details

Created AtOct 17, 2025, 4:10 PM ET

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

FAQ

What was the result for "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.