Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Total volume
$39K
Closing date
January 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the result for "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?
RESOLVEDCulture

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?

$39.1K Vol↗ 2.1% 24h
Market closed — no longer accepting trades

My Positions

Loading orderbook...
Loading trades...

Market Talks

Resolution Details

Created AtJan 6, 2026, 12:22 PM ET

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

FAQ

What was the result for "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?"?

This market has resolved. The final outcome was determined based on the resolution source. Shares for the correct outcome resolved to $1.00 and incorrect outcomes resolved to $0.00.