Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Total volume
$307K
24-hour volume
$2K
Closing date
June 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?

This market has seen $307K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 0% to 0%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
ACTIVETech

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

$306.7K Vol$1.8K 24h$48.5K Liq 0.1% 24h

My Positions

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Market Talks

Resolution Details

Created AtOct 10, 2025, 4:29 PM ET

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?

This market has seen $307K in total trading volume, with $2K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 0% to 0%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.