Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Current Market Data
- Yes probability
- 38%
- No probability
- 62%
- Total volume
- $6.1 million
- 24-hour volume
- $146K
- Closing date
- November 7, 2028
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?
Traders currently give this a 38% chance of Yes and 62% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?
This market has seen $6.1 million in total trading volume, with $146K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on November 7, 2028. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.