Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 20% chance of Yes and 81% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?
This market has seen $327K in total trading volume, with $451 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 21% to 20%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 20% chance of Yes and 81% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?"?
This market has seen $327K in total trading volume, with $451 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 21% to 20%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.