Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
3%
No probability
97%
Total volume
$11K
24-hour volume
$19
Closing date
June 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 3% chance of Yes and 97% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?"?

This market has seen $11K in total trading volume, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 3% to 3%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
ACTIVEPolitics

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

$11.3K Vol$19 24h$10.2K Liq 0.3% 24h

My Positions

Loading orderbook...
Loading trades...

Market Talks

Resolution Details

Created AtOct 31, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 3% chance of Yes and 97% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?"?

This market has seen $11K in total trading volume, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 3% to 3%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.