Trump out as President before GTA VI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
53%
No probability
48%
Total volume
$583K
24-hour volume
$724
Closing date
July 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Trump out as President before GTA VI?"?

Traders currently give this a 53% chance of Yes and 48% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Trump out as President before GTA VI?"?

This market has seen $583K in total trading volume, with $724 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on July 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Trump out as President before GTA VI?
ACTIVECulture

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

$582.8K Vol$724 24h$55.7K Liq

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Resolution Details

Created AtMay 2, 2025, 11:15 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Trump out as President before GTA VI?"?

Traders currently give this a 53% chance of Yes and 48% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Trump out as President before GTA VI?"?

This market has seen $583K in total trading volume, with $724 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on July 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.