Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?"?
Traders currently give this a 44% chance of Yes and 56% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?"?
This market has seen $415K in total trading volume, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on May 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 10 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 54% to 44%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?"?
Traders currently give this a 44% chance of Yes and 56% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?"?
This market has seen $415K in total trading volume, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on May 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 10 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 54% to 44%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.