S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, April 10, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, April 10, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Current Market Data

Up probability
43%
Down probability
57%
Total volume
$141K
24-hour volume
$141K
Closing date
April 10, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?"?

Traders currently give this a 43% chance of Up and 57% chance of Down. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?"?

This market has seen $141K in total trading volume, with $141K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 10, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Up has moved down 9 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 52% to 43%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?
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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?

$141.3K Vol$141.2K 24h$14.5K Liq↘ 9.0% 24h
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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 9, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, April 10, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?"?

Traders currently give this a 43% chance of Up and 57% chance of Down. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?"?

This market has seen $141K in total trading volume, with $141K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 10, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Up has moved down 9 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 52% to 43%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.