Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
54%
No probability
47%
Total volume
$1.5 million
24-hour volume
$13K
Closing date
July 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?"?

Traders currently give this a 54% chance of Yes and 47% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?"?

This market has seen $1.5 million in total trading volume, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on July 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 53% to 54%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
ACTIVECulture

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

$1.5M Vol$12.6K 24h$59.2K Liq 0.5% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtMay 2, 2025, 11:03 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?"?

Traders currently give this a 54% chance of Yes and 47% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?"?

This market has seen $1.5 million in total trading volume, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on July 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 53% to 54%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.