JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
99%
No probability
1%
Total volume
$526K
24-hour volume
$285K
Closing date
April 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?"?

Traders currently give this a 99% chance of Yes and 1% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?"?

This market has seen $526K in total trading volume, with $285K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 8 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 91% to 99%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
ACTIVEGeopolitics

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

$526.2K Vol$285.4K 24h$23.6K Liq↗ 7.7% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtMar 30, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?"?

Traders currently give this a 99% chance of Yes and 1% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?"?

This market has seen $526K in total trading volume, with $285K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 8 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 91% to 99%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.