Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
93%
No probability
8%
Total volume
$4K
24-hour volume
$4K
Closing date
April 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 93% chance of Yes and 8% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?"?

This market has seen $4K in total trading volume, with $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 34 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 59% to 93%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
ACTIVEPolitics

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

$4.3K Vol$4.3K 24h$11.1K Liq↗ 33.5% 24h

My Positions

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 9, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?"?

Traders currently give this a 93% chance of Yes and 8% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?"?

This market has seen $4K in total trading volume, with $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 34 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 59% to 93%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.