Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
0%
No probability
100%
Total volume
$25K
24-hour volume
$18K
Closing date
April 10, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?"?

Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?"?

This market has seen $25K in total trading volume, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 10, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 26 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 26% to 0%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?
ACTIVEWeather

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?

$25.3K Vol$17.5K 24h$3.2K Liq 26.5% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtApr 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?"?

Traders currently give this a 0% chance of Yes and 100% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?"?

This market has seen $25K in total trading volume, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on April 10, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 26 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 26% to 0%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.