Claude 4.7 released by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
83%
No probability
18%
Total volume
$21K
24-hour volume
$4K
Closing date
June 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Claude 4.7 released by June 30?"?

Traders currently give this a 83% chance of Yes and 18% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Claude 4.7 released by June 30?"?

This market has seen $21K in total trading volume, with $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 14 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 69% to 83%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
ACTIVETech

Claude 4.7 released by June 30?

$20.9K Vol$3.7K 24h$4.7K Liq↗ 14.0% 24h

My Positions

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Resolution Details

Created AtMar 9, 2026, 11:38 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Claude 4.7 released by June 30?"?

Traders currently give this a 83% chance of Yes and 18% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Claude 4.7 released by June 30?"?

This market has seen $21K in total trading volume, with $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on June 30, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved up 14 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 69% to 83%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.