CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Current Market Data

Yes probability
43%
No probability
57%
Total volume
$102K
24-hour volume
$1K
Closing date
December 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?"?

Traders currently give this a 43% chance of Yes and 57% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?"?

This market has seen $102K in total trading volume, with $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 6 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 49% to 43%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
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CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

$102.4K Vol$1.2K 24h$1.2K Liq 6.0% 24h

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Resolution Details

Created AtJan 19, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

FAQ

What are the current odds for "CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?"?

Traders currently give this a 43% chance of Yes and 57% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?"?

This market has seen $102K in total trading volume, with $1K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

What is the price trend for this market?

Yes has moved down 6 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 49% to 43%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.