Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Current Market Data

Up probability
10%
Down probability
91%
Total volume
$202K
24-hour volume
$202K
Closing date
March 19, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?"?

Traders currently give this a 10% chance of Up and 91% chance of Down. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

How much has been traded on "Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?"?

This market has seen $202K in total trading volume, with $202K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.

When does this market close?

This market is scheduled to close on March 19, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.

How do prediction market odds work?

Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

View Event
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?

ActiveHOTPRO
UP 10¢DOWN 91¢
$201.5K 24h vol·$202.1K total·$34.4K liquidity
Loading chart...