100kt meteor strike in 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "100kt meteor strike in 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 5% chance of Yes and 95% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "100kt meteor strike in 2026?"?
This market has seen $7K in total trading volume, with $354 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 6% to 5%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
My Positions
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
What are the current odds for "100kt meteor strike in 2026?"?
Traders currently give this a 5% chance of Yes and 95% chance of No. Odds shift in real-time as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.
How much has been traded on "100kt meteor strike in 2026?"?
This market has seen $7K in total trading volume, with $354 traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume generally indicates stronger market consensus and tighter spreads.
When does this market close?
This market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. At resolution, shares for the correct outcome pay out $1.00 while incorrect shares resolve to $0.00.
What is the price trend for this market?
Yes has moved down 1 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 6% to 5%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new developments.
How do prediction market odds work?
Prediction market prices represent the crowd's estimated probability of an outcome. A share priced at $0.65 implies a 65% chance. You can buy shares if you think the probability is higher than the price, or sell if you think it's lower. When the market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.