Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
| Market | Volume | Buy |
|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? 2.6% Spread 0.1¢ | $12.37M |
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
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How many markets are available for "Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?"?
There are 1 active prediction market available for "Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?" on FrenFlow, with $12.4 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?" with $12.4 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 3%.
How much trading activity has "Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?" generated?
"Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?" has generated $12.4 million in total trading volume since launch, with $883K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.
What is the price trend for "Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?"?
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? has moved down 1 point in the last 24 hours — from approximately 4% to 3%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around May 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.