Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date within April 8 - April 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 12, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Markets in this Event

Frequently Asked Questions

How many markets are available for "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?"?

There are 6 active prediction markets available for "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?", with $49K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "50" with $13K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 12, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.

Polymarket
HOTECONOMY

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

$49.31K Vol$31.42K 24h$48.51K Liq6 mkts
OutcomeBuy
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
10
62%↘7.0%1h↘21.5%24h$8.18K
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
20
20%↘1.5%1h↘11.0%24h$8.29K
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
30
5%↘1.0%1h↘15.0%24h$6.36K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
40
3.4%↘4.5%24h$1.84K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
60
1%↘2.0%24h$11.81K

Market Talks

Resolution Details

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date within April 8 - April 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

FAQ

How many markets are available for "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?"?

There are 6 active prediction markets available for "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?", with $49K in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "50" with $13K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 12, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.