Which company has the best AI model end of April? — Prediction Markets on FrenFlow
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markets in this Event
- Anthropic — Yes 92%
- OpenAI — Yes 2%
- xAI — Yes 1%
- Baidu — Yes 0%
- Amazon — Yes 0%
- Mistral — Yes 0%
- Meituan — Yes 0%
- Google — Yes 4%
- Alibaba — Yes 0%
- ByteDance — Yes 0%
- Moonshot — Yes 0%
- Z.ai — Yes 0%
- DeepSeek — Yes 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
How many markets are available for "Which company has the best AI model end of April?"?
There are 13 active prediction markets available for "Which company has the best AI model end of April?", with $2.6 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "DeepSeek" with $1.6 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 1%.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Which company has the best AI model end of April?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00.
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markets
| Outcome | Buy |
|---|---|
 Anthropic 92%$58.98K | |
 Google 4%$44.95K | |
 OpenAI 2%$501.45K | |
 DeepSeek 1%$1.62M | |
 xAI 1%$79.84K | |
 Alibaba 0%$33.49K | |
 Baidu 0%$34.51K | |
 Meituan 0%$35.77K | |
 ByteDance 0%$67.83K | |
 Moonshot 0%$38.87K | |
 Z.ai 0%$32.43K | |
 Amazon 0%$41.73K | |
 Mistral 0%$47.95K |