There are 4 active prediction markets available for "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?" on FrenFlow, with $7.6 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

The most traded market is "Enrichment of Uranium" with $3.5 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 2%.

Current standings

1. 1Oil Sanction Relief25%
2. 2Unfreeze Iranian Assets14%
3. 3Enrichment of Uranium2%
4. 4Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz1%

Odds shift in real-time as traders buy and sell shares based on new information, so the ranking reflects the market's latest collective view.

"What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?" has generated $7.6 million in total trading volume since launch, with $525K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.

Oil Sanction Relief has moved up 14 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 11% to 25%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around May 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.