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Polymarket
PolymarketPolymarket
HOTGEOPOLITICS
HOTGEOPOLITICS

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

$799.58K 24h↗6.0%·$249.07K Liquidity
$799.58K 24h·$249.07K Liquidity
$3.1M Vol.Jun 30, 2026
OutcomeChanceVolume24hLiquidityBuy
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Oil Sanction Relief
92%
92%$423.17K$108.78K$57.75K
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
70%
70%$906.78K$122.02K$55.72K
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Troop Withdrawal
36%
36%$334.89K$102.49K$32.63K
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Enrichment of Uranium
23.9%
23.9%$705.06K$238.67K$43.95K
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
13.7%
13.7%$698.71K$240.10K$44.33K

FAQ

Tap a question to read the answer.

How many markets are available for "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?"?

There are 5 active prediction markets available for "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?" on FrenFlow, with $3.1 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.

What is the most traded market in this event?

The most traded market is "Unfreeze Iranian Assets" with $907K in volume. Current odds: Yes at 70%.

What are the current odds for "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?"?

Current standings

  1. 1Oil Sanction Relief92%
  2. 2Unfreeze Iranian Assets70%
  3. 3Troop Withdrawal35%
  4. 4Enrichment of Uranium24%
  5. 5Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz14%

Odds shift in real-time as traders buy and sell shares based on new information, so the ranking reflects the market's latest collective view.

How much trading activity has "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?" generated?

"What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since launch, with $800K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.

What is the price trend for "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?"?

Oil Sanction Relief has moved up 9 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 83% to 92%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.

When do these markets close?

Markets in this event are scheduled to close around June 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.

How do prediction markets work?

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.

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Potential win
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