US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
| Outcome | Volume | Buy |
|---|---|---|
May 31 8% Spread 1¢ | $7.76M | |
December 31 26% Spread 2¢ | $208.37K |
Market Talks
Resolution Details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
FAQ
Tap a question to read the answer.
How many markets are available for "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?"?
There are 3 active prediction markets available for "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?" on FrenFlow, with $9.1 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "May 31" with $7.8 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 9%.
What are the current odds for "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?"?
Current standings
- 1December 3127%
- 2May 319%
Odds shift in real-time as traders buy and sell shares based on new information, so the ranking reflects the market's latest collective view.
How much trading activity has "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?" generated?
"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?" has generated $9.1 million in total trading volume since launch, with $508K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.
What is the price trend for "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?"?
December 31 has moved down 0 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 27% to 27%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around December 31, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.