Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
| Outcome | Volume | Buy |
|---|---|---|
May 8 5% Spread 1¢ | $147.81K | |
May 15 16% Spread 1¢ | $540.99K | |
May 22 25% Spread 1¢ | $54.73K | |
May 31 41% Spread 1¢ | $1.42M |
Market Talks
Resolution Details
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: nbcnews.com
FAQ
Tap a question to read the answer.
How many markets are available for "Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?"?
There are 12 active prediction markets available for "Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?" on FrenFlow, with $10.0 million in combined trading volume. Each market focuses on a different aspect or outcome.
What is the most traded market in this event?
The most traded market is "April 30" with $2.9 million in volume. Current odds: Yes at 0%.
What are the current odds for "Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?"?
Current standings
- 1May 3141%
- 2May 2225%
- 3May 1516%
- 4May 86%
Odds shift in real-time as traders buy and sell shares based on new information, so the ranking reflects the market's latest collective view.
How much trading activity has "Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?" generated?
"Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?" has generated $10.0 million in total trading volume since launch, with $601K traded in the last 24 hours. Higher volume aggregates more participants behind the implied probabilities, generally tightening spreads and sharpening the consensus signal.
What is the price trend for "Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?"?
May 22 has moved down 4 points in the last 24 hours — from approximately 29% to 25%. Price movements reflect changing trader sentiment and new information entering the market.
When do these markets close?
Markets in this event are scheduled to close around April 30, 2026. Individual markets may have different resolution dates depending on their specific conditions.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. For "Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?", you can buy shares representing different outcomes. Share prices reflect the crowd's estimated probabilities. When a market resolves, correct shares pay $1.00 and incorrect shares pay $0.00. On FrenFlow you can also follow the top traders on this market and automatically copy their positions, so you participate in their picks without having to time each trade yourself.